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Prediction markets
58 active markets
· category “Geopolitics”
How it works
How to trade
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Orbán - Hungary PM
99%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
23 more
$7.81M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Netanyahu out by...?
40%
chance
Yes
No
$123.8M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$63
76 trading now
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by...?
July 31
99%
September 30
99%
1 more
$187K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
42 trading now
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
13%
October 31
6%
2 more
$17.6M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$200
66 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$1.41M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$96
50 trading now
Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?
23%
chance
Yes
No
$65K
Vol.
Sep 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$109
52 trading now
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$199K
Vol.
Sep 30
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?
70%
chance
Yes
No
$37K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$36
40 trading now
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$200K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$303
51 trading now
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$1.56M
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$179
56 trading now
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia
73%
Druzkhivka
37%
6 more
$611K
Vol.
Dec 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
63 trading now
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
28%
chance
Yes
No
$8.4K
Vol.
Oct 31
geopolitics
Potential payout
$25
→
$88
37 trading now
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