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Prediction markets
10 active markets
· category “Fed”
How it works
How to trade
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
74%
September Meeting
69%
3 more
$1.72M
Vol.
Oct 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
64 trading now
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
Balance Sheet
85%
Productivity
84%
36 more
$122K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
49 trading now
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Other
73%
Pause–Pause–Pause
22%
7 more
$583K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
47 trading now
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Other
65%
Pause–Pause–Pause
32%
7 more
$631K
Vol.
Sep 16
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
63 trading now
Fed Decision in October?
No change
61%
25 bps increase
24%
3 more
$363K
Vol.
Oct 28
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
48 trading now
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
1 (25 bps)
37%
2 (50 bps)
32%
4 more
$69K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$68
42 trading now
How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?
0
21%
Yes
No
1
21%
Yes
No
$61K
Vol.
Jul 29
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$60
54 trading now
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?
9%
chance
Yes
No
$5.8K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$294
44 trading now
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$457.43
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
39 trading now
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$318K
Vol.
Dec 31
fed
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
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